2020/06/24
We have added the daily test number, daily positive test number, and daily test positive ratio of all states in the US.
2020/06/12
We have added the projections of hospital and ICU bed occupancy in each county in CA.
2020/06/09
We have added the county-level projections in the US.
2020/06/07
To better forewarn the second wave of COVID-19, we have added the predictions for daily confirmed and death cases in the US at both national and state levels.
2020/05/24
We have added the predictions for more countries (Colombia, Ecuador, Bolivia, Argentina) using the reported data up to 2020/05/23.
2020/05/22
We have released the prevalence estimation for each state in the US.
2020/05/21
We have updated the predictions for 21 countries (US, Brazil, Canada, Mexico, India, Turkey, Russia, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, France, Spain, Indonesia, Peru, Chile, Pakistan, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Sweden, United Kingdom) using the reported data up to 2020/05/20.
2020/05/17
We have added the comparison of the forecast performance of our SuEIR model with the forecast performance of some models developed by other universities, to better understand and evaluate various forecast models.
2020/05/15
We have updated the predictions for all states using the reported data up to 2020/05/14.
2020/05/12
We have added the predictions for more countries (Brazil, Canada, Mexico, India, Turkey, Russia, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, France, Spain, Indonesia, Peru, Chile, Pakistan, Germany) using the reported data up to 2020/05/11.
2020/05/09
We have added the prediction of the real-time reproduction number ($R_t$) for different states using the reported data up to 2020/05/07.
2020/05/08
We have updated the predictions using the reported data up to 2020/05/07.
2020/05/02
We have updated the predictions using the reported data up to 2020/05/01.
2020/04/25
We have updated the predictions using the reported data up to 2020/04/24
2020/04/22
We have added the prediction of counties in California with more than 1 million population including Alameda, Contra Costa, Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, Sacramento, San Bernardino, Santa Clara, San Diego, San Mateo.
We have updated the predictions using the reported data up to 2020/04/20.
2020/04/16
We have released the prediction of peak date of active cases in the US and each state.
We have updated the predictions using the reported data up to 2020/04/14.
2020/04/11
We have released our prediction of confirmed and death cases of COVID-19 in the US at both national and state levels. The predictions are based on reported data up to 2020/04/09.
2020/04/06
Our blog on the SuEIR model (a new variant of SEIR) is now live.